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The correct inferential object in claims reserving is the conditional predictive distribution $p(R \mid \mathcal{D}, \hat\theta)$, where $\mathcal{D}$ is the observed triangle held fixed. We refer to this as the conditioning principle. All…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Robin Van Oirbeek , Tim Verdonck

We consider a differential algebra F of formal power series in infinitely many variables. We define the important notions of a normalized set of generators for an ideal of F and a regular quotient algebra. The concept of the passive…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Oleg V. Kaptsov

Given a reference filtration $\mathbb{F}$, we develop in this work a generic method for computing the semimartingale decomposition of $\mathbb{F}$-martingales in some specific enlargements of $\mathbb{F}$. This method is then applied to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Monique Jeanblanc , Libo Li , Shiqi Song

Starting with the average particle distribution function for bosons and fermions for non-extensive thermodynamics , as proposed in \cite{CMP}, we obtain the corresponding density matrix operators and hamiltonians. In particular, for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-26 Marcelo R. Ubriaco

We provide a theory of the Fourier-Jacobi expansion for automorphic forms on simple adjoint groups of some general class. This theory respects the Heisenberg parabolic subgroups, whose unipotent radicals are the Heisenberg groups uniformly…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Hiro-aki Narita

We consider a complete probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$, which is endowed with two filtrations, $\mathbb{G}$ and $\mathbb{F}$, assumed to satisfy the usual conditions and such that $\mathbb{F} \subset \mathbb{G}$. On this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Monique Jeanblanc , Mariusz Niewęgłowski

Let $-d$ be a a negative discriminant and let $T$ vary over a set of representatives of the integral equivalence classes of integral binary quadratic forms of discriminant $-d$. We prove an asymptotic formula for $d \to \infty$ for the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Rainer Schulze-Pillot

We show that the left regular representation of Neretin groups is factorial, providing the first example of a non-discrete simple group with this property. This is based on a new criterion of factoriality for totally disconnected groups.…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Basile Morando

Small representations of a group bring us to large symmetries in a representation space. Analysis on minimal representations utilises large symmetries in their geometric models, and serves as a driving force in creating new interesting…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Toshiyuki Kobayashi

The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Ismihan Bayramoglu

Default logic can be regarded as a mechanism to represent families of belief sets of a reasoning agent. As such, it is inherently second-order. In this paper, we study the problem of representability of a family of theories as the set of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Victor Marek , Jan Treur , Miroslaw Truszczynski

This paper presents a quadratic formula-based nonlinear representation for a given single-variable function f(x), $-1 \leq x \leq 1$. First, we construct the explicit polynomial coefficient functions a(x), b(x), and c(x) using a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Ziqin He , Can Chen , Min Hyung Cho , Jingfang Huang , Yichao Wu

We consider a terminal control problem for processes governed by a nonlinear system of fractional ODEs. In order to show existence of the control, we first consider the linear counterpart of the system and reprove a number of classical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Maja Jolić , Sanja Konjik , Darko Mitrović

As machine learning-based prediction systems are increasingly used in high-stakes situations, it is important to understand how such predictive models will perform upon deployment. Distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

Let K be a maximal unramified extension of a nonarchimedean local field with arbitrary residual characteristic p. Let G be a reductive group over K which splits over a tamely ramified extension of K. We show that the associated Moy-Prasad…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Jessica Fintzen

Conformal prediction provides prediction sets with finite-sample marginal coverage, but many applications require coverage guarantees that adapt to individual test points, a subpopulation, or a structural component of the data. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Yinjie Min , Liuhua Peng , Changliang Zou

We consider a general class of regularization methods which learn a vector of parameters on the basis of linear measurements. It is well known that if the regularizer is a nondecreasing function of the inner product then the learned vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-21 Andreas Argyriou , Charles Micchelli , Massimiliano Pontil

I study partial identification of distributional parameters in triangular systems. This model consists of a nonparametric outcome equation and a selection equation. This allows for general unobserved heterogeneity and selection on…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-11 Ju Hyun Kim

The problem of belief tracking in the presence of stochastic actions and observations is pervasive and yet computationally intractable. In this work we show however that probabilistic beliefs can be maintained in factored form exactly and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Blai Bonet , Hector Geffner

We introduce a versatile numerical method for modeling light diffraction in periodically patterned photonic structures containing quadratically nonlinear non-centrosymmetric optical materials. Our approach extends the generalized source…

Optics · Physics 2015-06-23 Martin Weismann , Dominic F. G. Gallagher , Nicolae C. Panoiu