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In this paper, we consider a mathematical model for the evolution of neutral genetic diversity in a spatial continuum including mutations, genetic drift and either short range or long range dispersal. The model we consider is the spatial $…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Raphaël Forien

The emergence of a predominant phenotype within a cell population is often triggered by a rare accumulation of DNA mutations in a single cell. For example, tumors may be initiated by a single cell in which multiple mutations cooperate to…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-21 Philip Greulich , Benjamin D. Simons

The evolution of two species with different fitness is investigated on degree-heterogeneous graphs. The population evolves either by one individual dying and being replaced by the offspring of a random neighbor (voter model (VM) dynamics)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 T. Antal , S. Redner , V. Sood

As a result of climate change, many populations have to modify their range to follow the suitable areas - their "climate envelope" - often risking extinction. During this migration process, they may face absolute boundaries to dispersal,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-07-07 Lionel Roques , Alain Roques , Henri Berestycki , André Kretzschmar

Coevolving and competing species or game-theoretic strategies exhibit rich and complex dynamics for which a general theoretical framework based on finite populations is still lacking. Recently, an explicit mean-field description in the form…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

In this paper, we study a two-dimensional process arising as the unique nonnegative solution to a system of two stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with mutually enhancing two-way interactions driven by independent Brownian motions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Jie Xiong , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

The advent of modern genome sequencing techniques allows for a more stringent test of the neutrality hypothesis of Darwinian evolution, where all individuals have the same fitness. Using the individual based model of Wright and Fisher, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-01 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

Infinite population models are important tools for studying population dynamics of evolutionary algorithms. They describe how the distributions of populations change between consecutive generations. In general, infinite population models…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-09-29 Bo Song , Victor O. K. Li

Guided by the relationship between the breadth-first walk of a rooted tree and its sequence of generation sizes, we are able to include immigration in the Lamperti representation of continuous-state branching processes. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 M. Emilia Caballero , José Luis Pérez Garmendia , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

The question of whether biological populations survive or are eventually driven to extinction has long been examined using mathematical models. In this work we study population survival or extinction using a stochastic, discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yifei Li , Stuart T. Johnston , Pascal R. Buenzli , Peter van Heijster , Matthew J. Simpson

The site frequency spectrum (SFS) is a widely used summary statistic of genomic data. Motivated by recent evidence for the role of neutral evolution in cancer, we investigate the SFS of neutral mutations in an exponentially growing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Einar Bjarki Gunnarsson , Kevin Leder , Xuanming Zhang

Environmental noise can cause an exponential reduction in the mean time to extinction (MTE) of an isolated population. We study this effect on an example of a stochastic birth-death process with rates modulated by a colored Gaussian noise.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson , Boris Shklovskii

We introduce a population dynamics model, where individual genomes are represented by bit-strings. Selection is described by death probabilities which depend on these genomes, and new individuals continuously replace the ones that die,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. M. C. de Oliveira , J. S. Sa' Martins , D. Stauffer , S. Moss de Oliveira

In evolutionary dynamics, the probability that a mutation spreads through the whole population, having arisen in a single individual, is known as the fixation probability. In general, it is not possible to find the fixation probability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-26 Valmir C. Barbosa , Raul Donangelo , Sergio R. Souza

How high should be the rate of immigration into a stochastic population in order to significantly reduce the probability of observing the population extinct? Is there any relation between the population size distributions with and without…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Baruch Meerson , Otso Ovaskainen

Fundamental properties of macroscopic gene-mating dynamic evolutionary systems are investigated. We focus on a single locus, any number of alleles in a two-gender dioecious population, for a large class of systems within population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Juven Wang , Jiunn-Wei Chen

We study the behavior of an infinite system of ordinary differential equations modeling the dynamics of a metapopulation, a set of (discrete) populations subject to local catastrophes and connected via migration under a mean field rule; the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. D. Barbour , A. Pugliese

The theory of natural selection has two forms. Deductive theory describes how populations change over time. One starts with an initial population and some rules for change. From those assumptions, one calculates the future state of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-15 Steven A. Frank