Mathematics
In this paper, we give a short Bayesian proof of Talagrand's celebrated majorizing-measure theorem (MMT). While the upper-bound direction of MMT follows relatively directly from standard arguments, the lower-bound direction is widely…
We study Bernoulli percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$ in dimensions ${d>6}$. We prove that a classical consequence of the van den Berg-Kesten inequality, often referred to as the Simon-Lieb inequality in the context of the Ising model, admits a…
We perform a mathematical and statistical analysis of the Wasserstein least squares problem, a regression method for vector-valued covariates and distribution-valued responses. Our proposal contrasts with other distributional regression…
In the generality of a rigidly-compactly generated tensor triangulated category, we introduce semi-Bousfield classes in terms of the vanishing of the tensor product in positive degrees with respect to a fixed reasonable $t$-structure. We…
Given a non-zero polynomial $P(x)$, we study Fuchsian differential operators of the form $L=\partial_x^2-u(x)$ such that for all $\lambda\in\mathbb{C}$ the operator $L+\lambda P(x)$ is monodromy free. We prove that all such operators are…
The renewal contact process is a non-Markovian variant of the classical contact process in which recoveries are governed by independent renewal processes with interarrival distribution $\mu$. We establish new sufficient conditions ensuring…
A central question in high-dimensional statistics is to understand statistical--computational gaps: regimes in which recovering a hidden signal is information-theoretically possible but conjectured to be computationally intractable. The…
In this paper, we answer negatively to a question posed in the context of the 2025 Oberwolfach Mini-Workshop ``The Yang-Baxter Equation and Representations of Braid Groups'' regarding the existence of split extensions classifiers in the…
We study estimation in the low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regime for a broad class of Gaussian latent-variable models, including Gaussian mixtures and orbit recovery problems. We show that, in this regime, the generalized method-of-moments…
We derive closed form expressions for the lower expectations that correspond to total variation distance and chi-squared divergence balls around a probability mass function over a finite set.
Hjort and Glad (1995) present a method for semiparametric density estimation. Relative to the ordinary kernel density estimator, this technique performs much better when a parametric vehicle distribution fits the data, and otherwise…
We investigate integration by parts (IBP) formulae for stochastic Volterra equations and we establish the smoothing effect of the expectation. Due to the inherent path-dependent dynamics of this class of processes, standard…
Importance sampling (IS) consists in biasing samples from a distribution $f$ towards another distribution $g$. Concretely, given samples $X_i$ from $f$, the IS measure is $$\hat{g}_n = \frac{1}{Z_n}\sum_{i=1}^n \frac{g(X_i)}{f(X_i)}…
Using the Baxter-Kelland-Wu coupling and the convergence of the height function of the six-vertex model to the Gaussian Free Field, we extract critical exponents for the planar critical random-cluster model at $q=4$, and the planar…
We use the machinery of a conditional probability space (R\'enyi, 1955) to obtain an Agreement Theorem (Aumann, 1976) under general conditions. A conditional probability space (CPS) is a family of probability measures defined relative to a…
We consider $N\times N$ matrices $X$ with independent, identically distributed entries, and prove that the sequence of measures $\frac{ | \det (X-z)|^\gamma}{\mathbb{E}[ | \det (X-z)|^\gamma]}$ converge to the Gaussian Multiplicative Chaos…
We study spaces of conformal blocks associated with line bundles over elliptic curves, with coefficients in a vertex algebra. For vertex algebras satisfying suitable finiteness and semisimplicity conditions, which are met by all admissible…
We introduce the \emph{Topological Stability Index} (TSI), a variance-based scalar measure for persistence barcodes that quantifies the dispersion of persistence lifetimes. Unlike persistent entropy, which depends only on normalized…
We introduce an Indian-buffet-type model for multi-factorial innovation in which each arriving agent may exhibit both previously observed and new features. The number of new features follows a power-law behavior, while the probability of…
The Wolff dynamics is a non-local Markov chain widely used for simulating the Ising model due to its effectiveness in reducing critical slowing down compared to the Glauber dynamics. Despite extensive algorithmic and numerical studies, a…