Ernesto Mordecki
We obtain a verification theorem for solving a Dynkin game driven by a L\'evy process. The result requires finding two averaging functions that, composed respectively with the supremum and the infimum of the process, summed, and taked the…
Model selection in non-linear models often prioritizes performance metrics over statistical tests, limiting the ability to account for sampling variability. We propose the use of a statistical test to assess the equality of variances in…
A relationship between two sided discounted singular control problems and Dynkin games is established for real valued L\'evy processes. In addition, the solution of a two-sided ergodic singular control problem is obtained as the limit of…
Consider the discounted optimal stopping problem for a real valued Markov process with only positive jumps. We provide a theorem to verify that the optimal stopping region has the form {x >= x^*} for some critical threshold x^*, and a…
In a probabilistic mean-field game driven by a linear diffusion an individual player aims to minimize an ergodic long-run cost by controlling the diffusion through a pair of -- increasing and decreasing -- c\`adl\`ag processes, while he is…
A diffusion spider is a strong Markov process with continuous paths taking values on a graph with one vertex and a finite number of edges (of infinite length). An example is Walsh's Brownian spider where the process on each edge behaves as…
General conditions on smooth real valued random fields are given that ensure the finiteness of the moments of the measure of their level sets. As a by product a new generalized Kac-Rice formula (KRF) for the expectation of the measure of…
We propose a modification of the classical Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) interest rate tree model, which includes the possibility of a jump with small probability at each step to a practically zero interest rate. The corresponding BDT algorithms…
Infinite horizon optimal stopping problems for a L\'evy processes with a two-sided reward function are considered. A two-sided verification theorem is presented in terms of the overall supremum and the overall infimum of the process. A…
Considering a real-valued diffusion, a real-valued reward function and a positive discount rate, we provide an algorithm to solve the optimal stopping problem consisting in finding the optimal expected discounted reward and the optimal…
We solve optimal stopping problems for an oscillating Brownian motion, i.e. a diffusion with positive piecewise constant volatility changing at the point $x=0$. Let $\sigma_1$ and $\sigma_2$ denote the volatilities on the negative and…
We solve an optimal stopping problem where the underlying diffusion is Brownian motion on $\bf R$ with a positive drift changing at zero. It is assumed that the drift $\mu_1$ on the negative side is smaller than the drift $\mu_2$ on the…
We consider the estimation of the drift and the level sets of the stationary distri- bution of a Brownian motion with drift, reflected in the boundary of a compact set $S\subset R^d$ , departing from the observation of a trajectory of this…
We provide a polynomial algorithm to find the value and an optimal strategy for a generalization of the Pig game. Modeled as a competitive Markov decision process, the corresponding Bellman equations can be decoupled leading to systems of…
We prove the asymptotic normality of the standardized number of crossings of a centered stationary mixing Gaussian process when both the level and the time horizon go to infinity in such a way that the expected number of crossings also goes…
This paper develops an approach for solving perpetual discounted optimal stopping problems for multidimensional diffusions, with special emphasis on the $d$-dimensional Wiener process. We first obtain some verification theorems for…
We model bond's price curves corresponding to the sovereign uruguayan debt nominated in USD, as an alternative to the official bond prices publication released by the Central Bank of Uruguay (CBU). Four different gaussian models are fitted,…
Explicit solution of an infinite horizon optimal stopping problem for a Levy processes with a polynomial reward function is given, in terms of the overall supremum of the process, when the solution of the problem is one-sided. The results…
We review the state of the art in the problem of counting the number open knight tours, since the publication in internet of a computation of this quantity.
We study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator corresponding to the observation of a trajectory of a Skew Brownian motion, through a uniform time discretization. We characterize the speed of convergence and the…