When does the ID algorithm fail?
Abstract
The ID algorithm solves the problem of identification of interventional distributions of the form p(Y | do(a)) in graphical causal models, and has been formulated in a number of ways [12, 9, 6]. The ID algorithm is sound (outputs the correct functional of the observed data distribution whenever p(Y | do(a)) is identified in the causal model represented by the input graph), and complete (explicitly flags as a failure any input p(Y | do(a)) whenever this distribution is not identified in the causal model represented by the input graph). The reference [9] provides a result, the so called "hedge criterion" (Corollary 3), which aims to give a graphical characterization of situations when the ID algorithm fails to identify its input in terms of a structure in the input graph called the hedge. While the ID algorithm is, indeed, a sound and complete algorithm, and the hedge structure does arise whenever the input distribution is not identified, Corollary 3 presented in [9] is incorrect as stated. In this note, I outline the modern presentation of the ID algorithm, discuss a simple counterexample to Corollary 3, and provide a number of graphical characterizations of the ID algorithm failing to identify its input distribution.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2307.03750,
title = {When does the ID algorithm fail?},
author = {Ilya Shpitser},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.03750},
year = {2023}
}
Comments
arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2108.06818