What to Expect When You're Expecting
Probability
2026-06-29 v1
Abstract
The marginal degree of sums in dimension is the smallest integer such that the joint distributions of all subcollections of at most coordinates of a real-valued random vector determine the value of , whenever this expectation is defined. For every , we prove that this marginal degree is . The upper bound follows from a theorem of Simons (1977). The lower bound is proved by constructing, for every , two joint laws whose marginals of dimension at most agree, but for which the corresponding expectations of are defined and unequal.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2606.30400,
title = {What to Expect When You're Expecting},
author = {Mark Whitmeyer},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2606.30400},
year = {2026}
}