English

What Makes A Discovery

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology 2023-12-04 v1 Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics Astrophysics of Galaxies High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability History and Philosophy of Physics

Abstract

In this contribution to the proceedings of the 182nd Nobel Symposium, I reflect on the concept of "discovery" as it is used by physicists and astronomers. In particular, I comment on how the scientific community distinguishes discoveries from propositions that are supported only by lesser forms of evidence, emphasizing the social nature of this process and remarking on the subjective factors that go into making such judgements. I advocate for an approach that is intentionally Bayesian in nature, in which individuals are encouraged to evaluate and publicly state their priors and to update them systematically. I close by applying these practices to the case example of the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2312.00672,
  title  = {What Makes A Discovery},
  author = {Dan Hooper},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.00672},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

6 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-28T13:38:30.866Z