English

Weighted-threshold Coupon Collection

Probability 2026-07-09 v1

Abstract

We study a weighted-threshold version of the coupon collector problem in continuous time. Each type ii is discovered at rate λpi\lambda p_i and, once discovered, contributes weight wiw_i, where pp and ww are probability vectors. The stopping time when the total weight of the discovered types first exceeds a fixed threshold θ(0,1)\theta\in (0,1) is called the quorum time. We first prove concentration estimates and compare the quorum time with the corresponding deterministic threshold time obtained from the mean discovered weight. When all discovery rates are equal and the largest individual weight tends to zero, the first-order asymptotics are universal and do not depend on the weight vector. We then analyze the aligned Zipf family pi=wiisp_i = w_i \propto i^{-s}. This model has three regimes: a deterministic linear scale for 0s<10\le s < 1, a critical scale HNNθH_NN^\theta at s=1s=1, with an explicit leading constant, and a non-degenerate random hitting-time limit for s>1s>1. Finally, we show that the expected quorum time need not be monotone in the Zipf exponent.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2607.08551,
  title  = {Weighted-threshold Coupon Collection},
  author = {Sebastian Müller and Stjepan Šebek},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.08551},
  year   = {2026}
}

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23 pages