English

Weak convergence rate for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process

Probability 2026-07-08 v1

Abstract

We study the weak convergence rate of a drift-implicit discretisation scheme for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process in the regime where the process remains strictly positive. Specifically, we consider scheme~(4) of Alfonsi~\cite{A}, which arises naturally from applying a drift-implicit Euler step to the SDE satisfied by the square root of the CIR process and admits a unique positive closed-form solution at each time step. Using a PDE approach combined with a continuous-time SDE representation of the discretised process, we prove that the weak convergence rate is O(1/N)\mathcal{O}(1/N) under the Feller condition 2αθ22\alpha\geq\theta^2 and mild polynomial growth conditions on the payoff function. The proof requires only elementary techniques and, in particular, avoids the semi-exact simulation machinery used in earlier work. The methodology is expected to extend to a broader class of diffusion processes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2607.07552,
  title  = {Weak convergence rate for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process},
  author = {Alexandros Pavlis and Umut Cetin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.07552},
  year   = {2026}
}