VaR at Its Extremes: Impossibilities and Conditions for One-Sided Random Variables
Abstract
We investigate the extremal aggregation behavior of Value-at-Risk (VaR) -- that is, its additivity properties across all probability levels -- for sums of one-sided random variables. For risks supported on , we show that VaR sub-additivity is impossible except in the degenerate case of exact additivity, which holds only under co-monotonicity. To characterize when VaR is instead fully super-additive, we introduce two structural conditions: negative simplex dependence (NSD) for the joint distribution and simplex dominance (SD) for a margin-dependent functional. Together, these conditions provide a unified and easily verifiable framework that accommodates non-identical margins, heavy-tailed laws, and a wide spectrum of negative dependence structures. All results extend to random variables with arbitrary finite lower or upper endpoints, yielding sharp constraints on when strict sub- or super-additivity can occur.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2512.07787,
title = {VaR at Its Extremes: Impossibilities and Conditions for One-Sided Random Variables},
author = {Nawaf Mohammed},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.07787},
year = {2026}
}