English

Validity and Power of Heavy-Tailed Combination Tests under Asymptotic Dependence

Statistics Theory 2025-08-11 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

Heavy-tailed combination tests, such as the Cauchy combination test and harmonic mean p-value method, are widely used for testing global null hypotheses by aggregating dependent p-values. However, their theoretical guarantees under general dependence structures remain limited. We develop a unified framework using multivariate regularly varying copulas to model the joint behavior of p-values near zero. Within this framework, we show that combination tests remain asymptotically valid when the transformation distribution has a tail index γ1\gamma \leq 1, with γ=1\gamma = 1 maximizing power while preserving validity. The Bonferroni test emerges as a limiting case when γ0\gamma \to 0 and becomes overly conservative under asymptotic dependence. Consequently, combination tests with γ=1\gamma = 1 achieve increasing asymptotic power gains over Bonferroni as p-values exhibit stronger lower-tail dependence and signals are not extremely sparse. Our results provide theoretical support for using truncated Cauchy or Pareto combination tests, offering a principled approach to enhance power while controlling false positives under complex dependence.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2508.05818,
  title  = {Validity and Power of Heavy-Tailed Combination Tests under Asymptotic Dependence},
  author = {Lin Gui and Tiantian Mao and Jingshu Wang and Ruodu Wang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2508.05818},
  year   = {2025}
}