English

Using negative controls to identify causal effects with invalid instrumental variables

Methodology 2025-01-24 v6 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

Many proposals for the identification of causal effects require an instrumental variable that satisfies strong, untestable unconfoundedness and exclusion restriction assumptions. In this paper, we show how one can potentially identify causal effects under violations of these assumptions by harnessing a negative control population or outcome. This strategy allows one to leverage sub-populations for whom the exposure is degenerate, and requires that the instrument-outcome association satisfies a certain parallel trend condition. We develop the semiparametric efficiency theory for a general instrumental variable model, and obtain a multiply robust, locally efficient estimator of the average treatment effect in the treated. The utility of the estimators is demonstrated in simulation studies and an analysis of the Life Span Study.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2204.04119,
  title  = {Using negative controls to identify causal effects with invalid instrumental variables},
  author = {Oliver Dukes and David B. Richardson and Zachary Shahn and James M. Robins and Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2204.04119},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

65 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-24T10:42:33.726Z