Uniform-in-time propagation of chaos and bifurcation in two-type adhesion systems

We study a nonlocal adhesion model for two interacting tumor cell phenotypes, combining diffusion, pairwise interactions, and random phenotypic switching. The system admits a microscopic diffusion--jump particle description whose mean-field limit is a nonlinear McKean--Vlasov equation on a product space encoding position and internal state. We first establish uniform-in-time propagation of chaos in the weak-interaction regime using a coupling approach that combines reflection coupling for the diffusion with an optimal coupling of the spin-flip dynamics. As a byproduct, we obtain exponential long-time contraction for the nonlinear McKean--Vlasov equation in the first-order Wasserstein distance, implying uniqueness of the stationary distribution. We also investigate the complementary regime of strong interactions, where the homogeneous equilibrium may lose stability through a bifurcation mechanism.