English

Uncovering the population of compact binary mergers and their formation pathways with gravitational waves through the Einstein Telescope

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena 2025-12-22 v1 Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology

Abstract

Ground-based gravitational-wave (GW) observatories have transformed our view of compact-object mergers, yet their reach still limits a comprehensive reconstruction of the processes that generate these systems. Only next-generation observatories, with order-of-magnitude improvements in sensitivity and access to lower frequencies, will be capable of radically extending this detection horizon. GW observations will make it possible to detect the complete population of binary black hole (BBH) mergers out to redshifts of z100z \simeq 100. This capability will deliver an unprecedented map of merger events across cosmic time and enable precise reconstruction of their mass and spin distributions, while for several thousand events the signal-to-noise ratio will surpass 100, enabling precision physics of BHs and neutron stars (NSs). The access to lower frequencies will also open the intermediate-mass window, detecting systems of order 103M\sim 10^3 M_\odot, potentially in coordination with multi-band observations from LISA. At higher redshifts, where Population III stars have so far remained beyond reach - even for the James Webb Space Telescope - GW observations by next-generation detectors will routinely provide observations of BH mergers thought to originate from these primordial stellar populations. Such measurements are expected to play a central role in clarifying the early assembly of supermassive black holes. A single detection of a binary BH system at z30z \gtrsim 30, or of a compact object with sub-solar mass and no tidal deformability, would constitute strong evidence for the existence of primordial black holes. Such a discovery would have profound consequences for our understanding of dark matter and the early Universe. Ultimately, the GW observations will become revolutionary for identifying the physical channels responsible for compact binary formation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.17339,
  title  = {Uncovering the population of compact binary mergers and their formation pathways with gravitational waves through the Einstein Telescope},
  author = {M. Arca-Sedda and I. Dvorkin and G. Franciolini and M. C. Artale and M. Branchesi and E. Bortolas and M. Colpi and V. De Luca and A. Ghosh and M. Maggiore and M. Mapelli and B. Mestichelli and M. Mezcua and S. Nissanke and L. Paiella and A. Riotto and F. Santoliquido and N. Tamanini and R. Schneider and C. Ugolini and M. P. Vaccaro and K. Yakut},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.17339},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

4 pages. White paper submitted to the ESO Expanding Horizons Call on behalf of ET OSB Div3