English

Uncertainty relations and fluctuation theorems for Bayes nets

Statistical Mechanics 2025-09-01 v6 Machine Learning Machine Learning

Abstract

Recent research has considered the stochastic thermodynamics of multiple interacting systems, representing the overall system as a Bayes net. I derive fluctuation theorems governing the entropy production (EP)of arbitrary sets of the systems in such a Bayes net. I also derive ``conditional'' fluctuation theorems, governing the distribution of EP in one set of systems conditioned on the EP of a different set of systems. I then derive thermodynamic uncertainty relations relating the EP of the overall system to the precisions of probability currents within the individual systems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1911.02700,
  title  = {Uncertainty relations and fluctuation theorems for Bayes nets},
  author = {David H. Wolpert},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.02700},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

5 pages main text, 10 pages appendices, 2 figures - more typos fixed from published version

R2 v1 2026-06-23T12:08:04.637Z