English

Two-stage semiparametric inference for regime-switching jump diffusions with unknown Lévy densities

Statistics Theory 2026-06-30 v1 Probability

Abstract

We study high-frequency semiparametric inference for ergodic regime-switching jump diffusions whose continuous coefficients are parametric and whose regime-wise L\'evy densities are unknown. The motivation is that jumps contaminate increments while their law is itself unknown, making likelihood-based inference circular in switching models. We propose a two-stage procedure. First, small increments are used in a truncated Gaussian quasi-likelihood to estimate the drift and diffusion parameters. Second, large drift-corrected residuals are sorted by regime and smoothed with a kernel, with normalization by empirical regime exposure time, to estimate the L\'evy intensity densities on compact sets away from zero. We establish consistency and mixed-rate asymptotic normality for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator, and derive L2(B)L^2(B)-convergence rates for the exposure-normalized residual density estimator. Simulations for switching Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models illustrate the finite-sample performance of the method.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2606.31057,
  title  = {Two-stage semiparametric inference for regime-switching jump diffusions with unknown Lévy densities},
  author = {Yuzhong Cheng},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2606.31057},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-22T20:17:27.164Z