Towards data-driven modeling and real-time prediction of solar flares and coronal mass ejections
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics2023-01-02v1Solar and Stellar AstrophysicsData Analysis, Statistics and ProbabilitySpace PhysicsComputation
Modeling of transient events in the solar atmosphere requires the confluence of 3 critical elements: (1) model sophistication, (2) data availability, and (3) data assimilation. This white paper describes required advances that will enable statistical flare and CME forecasting (e.g. eruption probability and timing, estimation of strength, and CME details, such as speed and magnetic field orientation) similar to weather prediction on Earth.
@article{arxiv.2212.14384,
title = {Towards data-driven modeling and real-time prediction of solar flares and coronal mass ejections},
author = {M. Rempel and Y. Fan and M. Dikpati and A. Malanushenko and M. D. Kazachenko and M. C. M. Cheung and G. Chintzoglou and X. Sun and G. H. Fisher and T. Y. Chen},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2212.14384},
year = {2023}
}