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Threshold Rules for the Classical Prophet Inequality

Probability 2026-05-28 v3 Data Structures and Algorithms

Abstract

This note records a common threshold/surplus decomposition for single-threshold stopping rules in the classical prophet inequality. The same decomposition is used to certify several deterministic thresholds, including the median, half-mean, and balanced-surplus thresholds, and to give an averaged certificate for randomized thresholds distributed as the maximum.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.19871,
  title  = {Threshold Rules for the Classical Prophet Inequality},
  author = {Jiechen Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.19871},
  year   = {2026}
}

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8 pages