English

The Privacy Subsidy in Continuous-Time Kyle: Cumulative Welfare under Noise-Perturbed Order-Flow Observation

Computer Science and Game Theory 2026-05-28 v3 Cryptography and Security Probability Trading and Market Microstructure

Abstract

We extend the closed-form privacy-subsidy result of Nakamura~(2026, arXiv:2605.15746) from the single-period Kyle model to continuous-time. A committed Bayesian automated market maker observes the aggregate order flow perturbed by an independent Brownian privacy channel of diffusion intensity σε\sigma_\varepsilon. Under the Markovian linear equilibrium, the price-impact coefficient is λ=σv/σu2+σε2\lambda = \sigma_v / \sqrt{\sigma_u^2 + \sigma_\varepsilon^2} -- constant in time -- and the cumulative expected transfer from the protocol's liquidity pool to traders over [0,1][0,1] is ΠM=σvσε2/σu2+σε2|\Pi_M| = \sigma_v \sigma_\varepsilon^2 / \sqrt{\sigma_u^2 + \sigma_\varepsilon^2}. We then establish a structural duality between this cumulative privacy subsidy and Loss-Versus-Rebalancing (Milionis et al.~2022), identifying privacy-noise welfare as the order-flow observation analog of LVR's price observation gap. The result completes the program of quantifying break-even fees for committed-AMM exchanges under privacy-aggregated information environments.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.25631,
  title  = {The Privacy Subsidy in Continuous-Time Kyle: Cumulative Welfare under Noise-Perturbed Order-Flow Observation},
  author = {Yuki Nakamura},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.25631},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

13 pages. Third paper in a privacy-subsidy cluster (companions: arXiv:2605.15746, arXiv:2605.19742). Continuous-time Kyle analog with closed-form cumulative subsidy and structural duality to LVR (Milionis et al. 2022)