The Pok\'emon Theorem and other Fairness Impossibility Results
Abstract
Fairness impossibility results often look like distinct scalar incompatibility statements. We show that several share one RKHS geometry: fairness criteria are linear constraints on conditional mean embeddings, and unequal base rates make the law of total expectation overdetermine those constraints. This view yields four results. The Kleinberg--Mullainathan--Raghavan dichotomy needs only group-conditional unbiasedness, not full calibration. The \emph{Pok\'emon theorem} shows that a distinct group pair satisfying any finite collection of linear mean-fairness criteria leaves a residual violation witnessed by the MMD, decaying at the Kolmogorov -width rate under spectral regularity. The same tools prove an impossibility for fair feature learning: parity and class-conditional separation in representation space force class collapse under unequal base rates. The approximate relaxations yield signal and error frontiers, allowing a trade-off between real-world estimators and fairness goals. Experiments on standard fairness benchmarks are consistent with our bounds.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2605.09221,
title = {The Pok\'emon Theorem and other Fairness Impossibility Results},
author = {Daniel Matsui Smola and Alex Smola},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.09221},
year = {2026}
}