The online monotone array completion problem

Consider the following online filling game. An array of length $n$ is initially empty. At each time step one observes an independent sample from $\mathrm{Unif}[0,1]$ and must either discard it or place it irrevocably into an empty position of the array, while preserving the constraint that the occupied entries are non-decreasing from left to right. Among all possible strategies, what is the optimal expected time required to fill the array? Let $v_n$ denote this optimal expected completion time. Our main result determines $v_n$ up to lower-order terms: $$v_n=\left(\frac12+o(1)\right)n\log n.$$ More precisely, no strategy, even if randomized and adaptive, can have expected completion time below $\left(\frac12-o(1)\right)n\log n$, while we provide an explicit deterministic strategy whose expected completion time is at most $\left(\frac12+o(1)\right)n\log n$. For comparison, the natural coupon-collector strategy, which partitions $[0,1]$ into $n$ equal intervals and reserves one array position for each interval, has expected completion time $(1+o(1))n\log n$. We also consider a with-replacement version of the game, in which previously placed entries may be overwritten. For this variant, we give a deterministic strategy with expected completion time $O(n\sqrt{\log n})$, thereby establishing a separation between the two models.