English

The JWST early galaxy crisis resolved by a reionization degeneracy

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2026-05-06 v1 Astrophysics of Galaxies

Abstract

JWST's discovery of unexpectedly bright z>10z>10 galaxies has triggered claims that standard Λ\LambdaCDM cannot reproduce their abundances, while estimates of the ionizing escape fraction fescf_{\rm esc} at z>6z>6 have spanned a factor of four for over a decade. Here we show that both tensions arise from a structural degeneracy in reionization equations: global observables constrain only the product fesc×f,0f_{\rm esc}\times f_{\star,0} (peak star formation efficiency), not individual parameters. We demonstrate that this degeneracy, previously considered a limitation, provides a precise diagnostic framework. By leveraging JWST UV luminosity function shapes to independently constrain f,0f_{\star,0}, we derive robust bounds on fescf_{\rm esc}. Joint profile-likelihood analysis across Gaussian, log-normal, and duty-cycle burst scatter models excludes the proposed crisis threshold (ε>3.5%\varepsilon > 3.5\%) at 4.5σ4.5\sigma confidence, with stochastic star formation histories strengthening rather than weakening the result. Combining these constraints with constant and evolving f,0f_{\star,0} measurements yields the first empirical reconstruction of fesc(z)f_{\rm esc}(z) across z=7z=7--1212. A constant-efficiency scenario (fesc10f_{\rm esc}\approx 10--16%16\%) connects smoothly to low-redshift direct detections, whereas an evolving scenario (fesc6%f_{\rm esc} \approx 6\% at z=12z=12) conflicts with low-metallicity ISM porosity expectations. JWST Cycle 3--4 will distinguish these pathways at >2σ>2\sigma, transforming a long-standing fundamental inference barrier into a powerful quantitative probe of early-universe physics.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.03635,
  title  = {The JWST early galaxy crisis resolved by a reionization degeneracy},
  author = {Zihan Wang and Huanyuan Shan},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.03635},
  year   = {2026}
}