English

The Graph-Embedded Hazard Model (GEHM): Stochastic Network Survival Dynamics on Economic Graphs

Social and Information Networks 2025-12-18 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

This paper develops a nonlinear evolution framework for modelling survival dynamics on weighted economic networks by coupling a graph-based pp-Laplacian diffusion operator with a stochastic structural drift. The resulting finite-dimensional PDE--SDE system captures how node-level survival reacts to nonlinear diffusion pressures while an aggregate complexity factor evolves according to an It\^o{} process. Using accretive operator theory, nonlinear semigroup methods, and stochastic analysis, we establish existence and uniqueness of mild solutions, derive topology-dependent energy dissipation inequalities, and characterise the stability threshold separating dissipative, critical, amplifying, and explosive regimes. Numerical experiments on Barab\'asi--Albert networks confirm that hub dominance magnifies nonlinear gradients and compresses stability margins, producing heavy-tailed survival distributions and occasional explosive behaviour.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.14705,
  title  = {The Graph-Embedded Hazard Model (GEHM): Stochastic Network Survival Dynamics on Economic Graphs},
  author = {Diego Vallarino},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.14705},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T08:27:52.301Z