English

The fractal geometry of opinion formation

Probability 2026-01-30 v1

Abstract

In this manuscript, we introduce and study a variant of the agent-based opinion dynamics proposed in a recent work [8], within the framework of an interacting multi-agent system, where agents are assumed to interact with each other and update their opinions after each pairwise encounter. Specifically, our opinion model involves a large crowd of NN indistinguishable agents, each characterized by an opinion value ranging within the interval [1,1][-1,1]. At each update time, two agents are picked uniformly at random and the opinion of one agent will either shift by a proportion μ+(0,1]\mu_+ \in (0,1] towards +1+1, or by a proportion μ(0,1]\mu_- \in (0,1] towards 1-1, with probabilities depending on the other agent's opinion. We rigorously derive the mean-field limit PDE that governs the large-population limit of the agent-based model and present several quantitative results demonstrating convergence to the unique equilibrium distribution. Remarkably, for a suitable choice of model parameters, the long-term equilibrium opinion profile displays a striking self-similar structure that generalizes the celebrated Bernoulli convolution, a topic extensively studied in the context of fractal geometry [23,44]. These findings also enhance our understanding of the opinion fragmentation phenomenon and may provide valuable insights for the development of more sophisticated models in future research.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2601.21023,
  title  = {The fractal geometry of opinion formation},
  author = {Fei Cao and Roberto Cortez},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.21023},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

30 pages, 3 figures