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The Foundational Capabilities of Large Language Models in Predicting Postoperative Risks Using Clinical Notes

Computation and Language 2025-04-03 v5

Abstract

Clinical notes recorded during a patient's perioperative journey holds immense informational value. Advances in large language models (LLMs) offer opportunities for bridging this gap. Using 84,875 pre-operative notes and its associated surgical cases from 2018 to 2021, we examine the performance of LLMs in predicting six postoperative risks using various fine-tuning strategies. Pretrained LLMs outperformed traditional word embeddings by an absolute AUROC of 38.3% and AUPRC of 33.2%. Self-supervised fine-tuning further improved performance by 3.2% and 1.5%. Incorporating labels into training further increased AUROC by 1.8% and AUPRC by 2%. The highest performance was achieved with a unified foundation model, with improvements of 3.6% for AUROC and 2.6% for AUPRC compared to self-supervision, highlighting the foundational capabilities of LLMs in predicting postoperative risks, which could be potentially beneficial when deployed for perioperative care

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2402.17493,
  title  = {The Foundational Capabilities of Large Language Models in Predicting Postoperative Risks Using Clinical Notes},
  author = {Charles Alba and Bing Xue and Joanna Abraham and Thomas Kannampallil and Chenyang Lu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.17493},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

Codes are publicly available at: https://github.com/cja5553/LLMs_in_perioperative_care

R2 v1 2026-06-28T15:01:55.159Z