English

The Fighter Problem: Optimal Allocation of a Discrete Commodity

Probability 2011-07-27 v1 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

The Fighter problem with discrete ammunition is studied. An aircraft (fighter) equipped with nn anti-aircraft missiles is intercepted by enemy airplanes, the appearance of which follows a homogeneous Poisson process with known intensity. If jj of the nn missiles are spent at an encounter they destroy an enemy plane with probability a(j)a(j), where a(0)=0a(0) = 0 and {a(j)}\{a(j)\} is a known, strictly increasing concave sequence, e.g., a(j)=1qj,  0<q<1a(j) = 1-q^j, \; \, 0 < q < 1. If the enemy is not destroyed, the enemy shoots the fighter down with known probability 1u1-u, where 0u10 \le u \le 1. The goal of the fighter is to shoot down as many enemy airplanes as possible during a given time period [0,T][0, T]. Let K(n,t)K (n, t) be the smallest optimal number of missiles to be used at a present encounter, when the fighter has flying time tt remaining and nn missiles remaining. Three seemingly obvious properties of K(n,t)K(n, t) have been conjectured: [A] The closer to the destination, the more of the nn missiles one should use, [B] the more missiles one has, the more one should use, and [C] the more missiles one has, the more one should save for possible future encounters. We show that [C] holds for all 0u10 \le u \le 1, that [A] and [B] hold for the "Invincible Fighter" (u=1u=1), and that [A] holds but [B] fails for the "Frail Fighter" (u=0u=0), the latter through a surprising counterexample.

Cite

@article{arxiv.1107.5066,
  title  = {The Fighter Problem: Optimal Allocation of a Discrete Commodity},
  author = {Jay Bartroff and Ester Samuel-Cahn},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1107.5066},
  year   = {2011}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-21T18:41:59.353Z