The exact Power Law for Buffon's needle landing near some Random Cantor Sets

In this paper, we study the Favard length of some random Cantor sets of Hausdorff dimension 1. We start with a unit disk in the plane and replace the unit disk by $4$ disjoint subdisks (with equal distance to each other) of radius $1/4$ inside and tangent to the unit disk. By repeating this operation in a self-similar manner and adding a random rotation in each step, we can generate a random Cantor set ${\cal D}(\omega)$. Let ${\cal D}_n$ be the $n$-th generation in the construction, which is comparable to the $4^{-n}$-neighborhood of ${\cal D}$. We are interested in the decay rate of the Favard length of these sets ${\cal D}_n$ as $n\to\infty$, which is the likelihood (up to a constant) that "Buffon's needle" dropped randomly will fall into the $4^{-n}$-neighborhood of ${\cal D}$. It is well known in [P. Mattila, Orthogonal projections, Riesz capacities, and Minkowski content, Indiana Univ. Math. J. 39 (1990), no. 1, 185-198] that the lower bound of the Favard length of ${\cal D}_n(\omega)$ is constant multiple of $n^{-1}$. We show that the upper bound of the Favard length of ${\cal D}_n(\omega)$ is $C n^{-1}$ for some $C>0$ in the average sense. We also prove the similar linear decay for the Favard length of ${\cal D}^d_n(\omega)$ which is the $d^{-n}$-neighborhood of a self-similar random Cantor set with degree $d$ greater than $4$. Notice in the non-random case where the self-similar set has degree greater than $4$, the best known result for the decay rate of the Favard length is $e^{-c\sqrt {\log n}}$.