English

The DESI DR1/DR2 evidence for dynamical dark energy is biased by low-redshift supernovae

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2025-07-29 v5

Abstract

Recently, a 34σ3\sim4\sigma preference for dynamical dark energy has been reported by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) collaboration, which has inspired hot debates on new physics or systematics. In this paper, we reveal that this preference is significantly biased by an external low-redshift supernova (low-zz SN) sample, which was combined with the Dark Energy Survey SN program (DES-SN) in their Year-Five data release (DESY5). Using the intercept in the SN magnitude-distance relation as a diagnostic for systematics, we find not only large dispersions but also a large discrepancy in the low-zz SN sample when compared to the high-zz DES-SN sample within the single DESY5 compilation, in contrast to the uniform behavior found in the PantheonPlus data. Correcting for this low-zz systematics with or without including the cosmic microwave background data can largely reduce the preference for dynamical DE to be less than 2σ2\sigma. Therefore, the DESI preference for dynamical DE is biased by some unknown systematics in the low-zz SN sample.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2502.04212,
  title  = {The DESI DR1/DR2 evidence for dynamical dark energy is biased by low-redshift supernovae},
  author = {Lu Huang and Rong-Gen Cai and Shao-Jiang Wang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.04212},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

v5, reorganized Table I and Table II, newly added panel for Figure 2, minor revision with better presentations, accepted for publication in Sci. China Phys. Mech. Astron