The Curvature Shadow: An Apparent Failure of Maximum-Entropy Equilibrium Selection is a Removable Artifact
Abstract
In two-player zero-sum games whose Nash equilibria form a convex set, regularized solvers such as Regularized Nash Dynamics (R-NaD) empirically select the maximum-entropy member: the information projection (I-projection) of a uniform reference onto the Nash set. On a panel of small games this match is exact, with one apparent exception: in Kuhn poker R-NaD lands at bluff coordinate 0.180 while the maximum-entropy member sits at 0.201, a coordinate gap of about 0.021, even though R-NaD attains 99.7 percent of the maximum entropy. We ask whether this gap is a genuine selection bias or an artifact, and answer it quantitatively. We show that for selection on a one-dimensional Nash manifold the coordinate gap factorizes as , where is the entropy shortfall of the solver and is the curvature of the entropy landscape at its peak. Across five games this relation holds to within (under 1 percent relative error). The four matrix games have (R-NaD reaches the maximum-entropy member exactly) and therefore no gap regardless of curvature; only the sequential game (Kuhn) has . A causal sweep of the magnet strength drives and the gap toward zero along the predicted curve (fitted scaling exponent 0.50, , against the exact prediction of 1/2), until the dynamics destabilize at a stability floor: behavior consistent with a removable shortfall and inconsistent with a fixed bias. We quantify the curvature half of the law from measured curvatures and flag a moving-target pitfall in the natural Tsallis-entropy experiment. The Kuhn gap is thus the curvature shadow of a small, removable entropy shortfall on an unusually flat peak; the I-projection account is upheld up to a flatness-limited residual.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2607.17543,
title = {The Curvature Shadow: An Apparent Failure of Maximum-Entropy Equilibrium Selection is a Removable Artifact},
author = {Luis Leal},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.17543},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
11 pages, 4 figures, 3 tables. Diagnostic companion to arXiv:2606.28308. Fully reproducible: a single self-contained notebook regenerates every number, table, and figure