English

Testing the Goodwin Growth Cycles with Econophysics Approach in 2002-2019 Period in Turkey

General Economics 2021-06-07 v1 Physics and Society Economics

Abstract

The Turkish economy between 2002-2019 period has been investigated within the econophysical approach. From the individual income data obtained from the Household Budget Survey, the Gompertz-Pareto distribution for each year and Goodwin cycle for the mentioned period have been obtained. For this period, in which thirteen elections were held under the single-party rule, it has been observed that the income distribution fits well with the Gompertz-Pareto distribution which shows the two-class structure of the Turkish economy. The variation of the threshold value xtx_t (which separates these two classes) as well as Pareto coefficient have been obtained. Besides, Goodwin cycle has been observed within this period, centered at (u,v)(66.30,83.40)(u,v)\cong (66.30,83.40) and a period of T=18.30T=18.30 years. It has been concluded that these observations are consistent with the economic and social events experienced in the mentioned period.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2106.02546,
  title  = {Testing the Goodwin Growth Cycles with Econophysics Approach in 2002-2019 Period in Turkey},
  author = {Kerim Eser Afşar and Mehmet Özyigit and Yusuf Yüksel and Ümit Akıncı},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.02546},
  year   = {2021}
}