Structural causal models for macro-variables in time-series
Statistics Theory
2018-04-12 v1 Statistics Theory
Abstract
We consider a bivariate time series that is given by a simple linear autoregressive model. Assuming that the equations describing each variable as a linear combination of past values are considered structural equations, there is a clear meaning of how intervening on one particular influences at later times . In the present work, we describe conditions under which one can define a causal model between variables that are coarse-grained in time, thus admitting statements like `setting to changes in a certain way' without referring to specific time instances. We show that particularly simple statements follow in the frequency domain, thus providing meaning to interventions on frequencies.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1804.03911,
title = {Structural causal models for macro-variables in time-series},
author = {Dominik Janzing and Paul Rubenstein and Bernhard Schölkopf},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.03911},
year = {2018}
}
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8 pages