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Stochastic Reservoir Calculations

Probability 2023-01-10 v1 Discrete Mathematics History and Overview

Abstract

Prabhu (1958) obtained the stationary distribution of storage level ZtZ_{t} in a reservoir of finite volume vv, given an inflow XtX_{t} and an outflow YtY_{t}. Time tt is assumed to be discrete, XtX_{t} \sim Gamma(p,μ)(p,\mu) are independent and pp is a positive integer. The mean inflow is p/μp/\mu; the target outflow is mm (constant). We attempt to clarify intricate details, often omitted in the literature, by working through several examples. Of special interest are the probabilities of depletion (Zt=0Z_{t}=0) and spillage (Zt=vZ_{t}=v). For prescribed {v,p,μv,p,\mu}, what value of mm minimizes both of these?

Cite

@article{arxiv.2301.03111,
  title  = {Stochastic Reservoir Calculations},
  author = {Steven Finch},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.03111},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

12 pages; 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T08:06:52.549Z