Stochastic inflationary dynamics beyond slow-roll and consequences for primordial black hole formation

We consider the impact of quantum diffusion on inflationary dynamics during an ultra-slow-roll phase, which can be of particular significance for the formation of primordial black holes. We show, by means of a fully analytical approach, that the power spectrum of comoving curvature perturbations computed in stochastic inflation matches precisely, at the linear level, the result obtained by solving the Mukhanov-Sasaki equation, even in the presence of an ultra-slow-roll phase. We confirm this result numerically in a model in which the inflaton has a polynomial potential and is coupled quadratically to the Ricci scalar. En route, we assess the role that quantum noise plays in the presence of an ultra-slow-roll phase, and clarify the issue of the quantum-to-classical transition in this scenario.