English

Stochastic Analysis of Overlapping Generations Models Under Incomplete Markets

Probability 2025-09-08 v1 Optimization and Control

Abstract

We provide a stochastic analysis of an overlapping-generations model under incomplete markets. By casting individual optimisation with idiosyncratic income risk into a forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) system, we (i) establish existence and uniqueness of the dynamic general-equilibirum interest rate and (ii) derive semi-explicit formulas for both the equilibrium interest rate path and the natural borrowing limit - defined as the discounted expected shortfall of future income. Our FBSDE-based approach yields tractable policy functions and equilibrium mappings without relying on high-dimensional PDE methods, offering clear insights into how income dynamics and demographic structure drive intereate-rate fluctuations and credit constraints.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2509.05170,
  title  = {Stochastic Analysis of Overlapping Generations Models Under Incomplete Markets},
  author = {Cangxiong Chen and Sigmund Ellingsrud and Fabian Harang and Alfonso Irarrazabal and Avi Mayorcas},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.05170},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

41 pages, 15 figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T05:23:16.324Z