English

Statistical strong lensing. II. Cosmology and galaxy structure with time-delay lenses

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2021-12-22 v2

Abstract

Context. Time delay lensing is a powerful tool to measure the Hubble constant H0H_0. In order to obtain an accurate estimate of H0H_0 from a sample of time delay strong lenses, however, it is necessary to have a very good knowledge of the mass structure of the lens galaxies. Strong lensing data on their own are not sufficient to break the degeneracy between H0H_0 and the lens model parameters, on a single object basis. Aims. The goal of this study is to determine whether it is possible to break the H0H_0-lens structure degeneracy with the statistical combination of a large sample of time-delay lenses, relying purely on strong lensing data (that is, with no stellar kinematics information). Methods. I simulated a set of 100 lenses with doubly imaged quasars and related time delay measurements. I fitted these data with a Bayesian hierarchical method and a flexible model for the lens population, emulating the lens modelling step. Results. The sample of 100 lenses, on its own, provides a measurement of H0H_0 with 3%3\% precision, but with a 4%-4\% bias. However, the addition of prior information on the lens structural parameters from a large sample of lenses with no time delays, such as that considered in Paper I, allows for a 1%1\%-level inference. Moreover, the 100 lenses allow for a 0.030.03~dex calibration of galaxy stellar masses, regardless of the level of prior knowledge of the Hubble constant. Conclusions. Breaking the H0H_0-lens model degeneracy with lensing data alone is possible, but 1%1\% measurements of H0H_0 require either a number of time delay lenses much larger than 100, or the knowledge of the structural parameter distribution of the lens population from a separate sample of lenses.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.00009,
  title  = {Statistical strong lensing. II. Cosmology and galaxy structure with time-delay lenses},
  author = {Alessandro Sonnenfeld},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.00009},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

Published on Astronomy & Astrophysics. A 2-minute summary video is available at https://youtu.be/EBiWvKCL6yk