English

Statistical Nuances in BAO Analysis: Likelihood Formulations and Non-Gaussianities

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2026-03-19 v1

Abstract

We present a systematic comparison of statistical approaches to Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) analysis using DESI DR2 data. We evaluate four methods for handling the nuisance parameter β=1/(H0rd)\beta=1/(H_0 r_d): marginalization, profiling, Taylor expansion, and full likelihood analysis across multiple cosmological models. Our results demonstrate that while these methods yield consistent constraints for Λ\LambdaCDM and ΩK\Omega_KCDM models, they produce notable differences for models with dynamical dark energy parameters. Through eigenvalue decomposition of Fisher matrices, we identify extreme parameter degeneracies in wwaww_aCDM and ΩKwwa\Omega_Kww_aCDM models that explain these statistical sensitivities. Surprisingly, ΩK\Omega_KCDM shows the highest information content across datasets, suggesting BAO measurements are particularly informative about spatial curvature. We further use skewness and kurtosis analysis to identify deviations from Gaussianity, highlighting limitations in Fisher approximations in the dark energy models. Our analysis demonstrates the importance of careful statistical treatment when extracting cosmological constraints from increasingly precise measurements.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2504.18416,
  title  = {Statistical Nuances in BAO Analysis: Likelihood Formulations and Non-Gaussianities},
  author = {Denitsa Staicova},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2504.18416},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

13 pages, 5 figures, 3 tables

R2 v1 2026-06-28T23:11:30.726Z