Splitting trees stopped when the first clock rings and Vervaat's transformation
Abstract
We consider a branching population where individuals have i.i.d.\ life lengths (not necessarily exponential) and constant birth rate. We let denote the population size at time . %(called homogeneous, binary Crump--Mode--Jagers process). We further assume that all individuals, at birth time, are equipped with independent exponential clocks with parameter . We are interested in the genealogical tree stopped at the first time when one of those clocks rings. This question has applications in epidemiology, in population genetics, in ecology and in queuing theory. We show that conditional on , the joint law of , where is the jumping contour process of the tree truncated at time , is equal to that of conditional on , where : is the number of visits of 0, before some single independent exponential clock with parameter rings, by some specified L{\'e}vy process without negative jumps reflected below its supremum; is the infimum of the path defined as killed at its last 0 before ; is the Vervaat transform of . This identity yields an explanation for the geometric distribution of \cite{K,T} and has numerous other applications. In particular, conditional on , and also on , the ages and residual lifetimes of the alive individuals at time are i.i.d.\ and independent of . We provide explicit formulae for this distribution and give a more general application to outbreaks of antibiotic-resistant bacteria in the hospital.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1110.2929,
title = {Splitting trees stopped when the first clock rings and Vervaat's transformation},
author = {Amaury Lambert and Pieter Trapman},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1110.2929},
year = {2011}
}