English

Some numerical observations about the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy

Populations and Evolution 2020-04-14 v2 Dynamical Systems Physics and Society

Abstract

We give some numerical observations on the total number of infected by the SARS-CoV-2 in Italy. The analysis is based on a tanh formula involving two parameters. A polynomial correlation between the parameters gives an upper bound for the time of the peak of new infected. A numerical indicator of the temporal variability of the upper bound is introduced. The result and the possibility to extend the analysis to other countries are discussed in the conclusions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.11363,
  title  = {Some numerical observations about the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy},
  author = {Federico Zullo},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.11363},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

This is versione n. 2. A section and two figures have been added 12 pages, 9 figures