English

Soft Sensor for Bottom-Hole Pressure Estimation in Petroleum Wells Using Long Short-Term Memory and Transfer Learning

Machine Learning 2026-02-12 v1

Abstract

Monitoring bottom-hole variables in petroleum wells is essential for production optimization, safety, and emissions reduction. Permanent Downhole Gauges (PDGs) provide real-time pressure data but face reliability and cost issues. We propose a machine learning-based soft sensor to estimate flowing Bottom-Hole Pressure (BHP) using wellhead and topside measurements. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model is introduced and compared with Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and Ridge Regression. We also pioneer Transfer Learning for adapting models across operational environments. Tested on real offshore datasets from Brazil's Pre-salt basin, the methodology achieved Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) consistently below 2\%, outperforming benchmarks. This work offers a cost-effective, accurate alternative to physical sensors, with broad applicability across diverse reservoir and flow conditions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.03737,
  title  = {Soft Sensor for Bottom-Hole Pressure Estimation in Petroleum Wells Using Long Short-Term Memory and Transfer Learning},
  author = {M. A. Fernandes and E. Gildin and M. A. Sampaio},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.03737},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:34:38.571Z