English

Small-noise approximation for Bayesian optimal experimental design with nuisance uncertainty

Numerical Analysis 2023-02-24 v4 Numerical Analysis

Abstract

Calculating the expected information gain in optimal Bayesian experimental design typically relies on nested Monte Carlo sampling. When the model also contains nuisance parameters, which are parameters that contribute to the overall uncertainty of the system but are of no interest in the Bayesian design framework, this introduces a second inner loop. We propose and derive a small-noise approximation for this additional inner loop. The computational cost of our method can be further reduced by applying a Laplace approximation to the remaining inner loop. Thus, we present two methods, the small-noise Double-loop Monte Carlo and small-noise Monte Carlo Laplace methods. Moreover, we demonstrate that the total complexity of these two approaches remains comparable to the case without nuisance uncertainty. To assess the efficiency of these methods, we present three examples, and the last example includes the partial differential equation for the electrical impedance tomography experiment for composite laminate materials.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2112.06794,
  title  = {Small-noise approximation for Bayesian optimal experimental design with nuisance uncertainty},
  author = {Arved Bartuska and Luis Espath and Raúl Tempone},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2112.06794},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

22 pages, 11 figures, Added references, Addressed referee suggestions, Corrected equations in Section 5 and Appendix B; No significant impact on numerical results, Updated figures, Corrected notation in Section 6, Corrected typos

R2 v1 2026-06-24T08:15:19.770Z