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Simple Confidence Intervals for MCMC Without CLTs

Methodology 2018-12-04 v1 Probability

Abstract

This short note argues that 95% confidence intervals for MCMC estimates can be obtained even without establishing a CLT, by multiplying their widths by 2.3.

Cite

@article{arxiv.1812.00126,
  title  = {Simple Confidence Intervals for MCMC Without CLTs},
  author = {Jeffrey S. Rosenthal},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1812.00126},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

4 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-23T06:27:41.779Z