English

Seven hints that early-time new physics alone is not sufficient to solve the Hubble tension

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2023-09-01 v1 General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology High Energy Physics - Phenomenology High Energy Physics - Theory

Abstract

The Hubble tension has now grown to a level of significance which can no longer be ignored and calls for a solution which, despite a huge number of attempts, has so far eluded us. Significant efforts in the literature have focused on early-time modifications of Λ\LambdaCDM, introducing new physics operating prior to recombination and reducing the sound horizon. In this opinion paper I argue that early-time new physics alone will always fall short of fully solving the Hubble tension. I base my arguments on seven independent hints, related to 1) the ages of the oldest astrophysical objects, 2) considerations on the sound horizon-Hubble constant degeneracy directions in cosmological data, 3) the important role of cosmic chronometers, 4) a number of ``descending trends'' observed in a wide variety of low-redshift datasets, 5) the early integrated Sachs-Wolfe effect as an early-time consistency test of Λ\LambdaCDM, 6) early-Universe physics insensitive and uncalibrated cosmic standard constraints on the matter density, and finally 7) equality wavenumber-based constraints on the Hubble constant from galaxy power spectrum measurements. I argue that a promising way forward should ultimately involve a combination of early- and late-time (but non-local -- in a cosmological sense, i.e. at high redshift) new physics, as well as local (i.e. at z0z \sim 0) new physics, and I conclude by providing reflections with regards to potentially interesting models which may also help with the S8S_8 tension.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2308.16628,
  title  = {Seven hints that early-time new physics alone is not sufficient to solve the Hubble tension},
  author = {Sunny Vagnozzi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.16628},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

39 pages, 18 sub-figures arranged into 11 figures, most of which reproduced (with permission) from other works, many references, "alone" is the keyword here. A very pictorial summary of the whole paper is in Fig. 11, not made by me. Accepted for publication in Universe as an invited opinion/review paper in the special issue "Modified Gravity Approaches to the Tensions of \Lambda CDM"