English

Scenario generation for market risk models using generative neural networks

Machine Learning 2023-11-07 v5 Mathematical Finance Risk Management

Abstract

In this research, we show how to expand existing approaches of using generative adversarial networks (GANs) as economic scenario generators (ESG) to a whole internal market risk model - with enough risk factors to model the full band-width of investments for an insurance company and for a one year time horizon as required in Solvency 2. We demonstrate that the results of a GAN-based internal model are similar to regulatory approved internal models in Europe. Therefore, GAN-based models can be seen as a data-driven alternative way of market risk modeling.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.10072,
  title  = {Scenario generation for market risk models using generative neural networks},
  author = {Solveig Flaig and Gero Junike},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.10072},
  year   = {2023}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-24T06:10:35.171Z