English

Scaling features of two special Markov chains involving total disasters

Probability 2021-01-12 v1 Statistical Mechanics

Abstract

Catastrophe Markov chain population models have received a lot of attention in the recent past. We herewith consider two special cases of such models involving total disasters, both in discrete and in continuous-time. Depending on the parameters range, the two models can show up a recurrence/transience transition and, in the critical case, a positive/null recurrence transition. The collapse transition probabilities are chosen in such a way that the models are exactly solvable and, in case of positive recurrence, intimately related to the extended Sibuya and Pareto-Zipf distributions whose divisibility and self-decomposability properties are shown relevant. The study includes: existence and shape of the invariant measure, time-reversal, return time to the origin, contact probability at the origin, extinction probability, height and length of the excursions, a renewal approach to the fraction of time spent in the catastrophic state, scale function, first time to collapse and first-passage times, divisibility properties.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2101.03853,
  title  = {Scaling features of two special Markov chains involving total disasters},
  author = {Branda Goncalves and Thierry Huillet},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2101.03853},
  year   = {2021}
}