Relevant statistics for Bayesian model choice
Statistics Theory
2013-08-23 v4 Populations and Evolution
Computation
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Abstract
The choice of the summary statistics used in Bayesian inference and in particular in ABC algorithms has bearings on the validation of the resulting inference. Those statistics are nonetheless customarily used in ABC algorithms without consistency checks. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on summary statistics for the corresponding Bayes factor to be convergent, namely to asymptotically select the true model. Those conditions, which amount to the expectations of the summary statistics to asymptotically differ under both models, are quite natural and can be exploited in ABC settings to infer whether or not a choice of summary statistics is appropriate, via a Monte Carlo validation.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1110.4700,
title = {Relevant statistics for Bayesian model choice},
author = {J. -M. Marin and N. Pillai and C. P. Robert and J. Rousseau},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1110.4700},
year = {2013}
}
Comments
30 pages, 8 figures, 1 table