English

Red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling

Probability 2025-08-14 v2 Dynamical Systems

Abstract

The concept of time-correlated noise is important to applied stochastic modelling. Nevertheless, there is no generally agreed-upon definition of the term red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling settings. We present here a rigorous argumentation for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process integrated against time (UtdtU_t \mathrm{d} t) as a uniquely appropriate red noise implementation. We also identify the term dUt\mathrm{d}U_t as an erroneous formulation of red noise commonly found in the applied literature. To this end, we prove a theorem linking properties of the power spectral density (PSD) to classes of It\^{o}-differentials. The commonly ascribed red noise attribute of a PSD decaying as S(ω)ω2S(\omega)\sim\omega^{-2} restricts the range of possible It\^{o}-differentials dYt=αtdt+βtdWt\mathrm{d}Y_t=\alpha_t\mathrm{d} t+\beta_t\mathrm{d} W_t. In particular, any such differential with continuous, square-integrable integrands must have a vanishing martingale part, i.e. dYt=αtdt\mathrm{d}Y_t=\alpha_t\mathrm{d} t for almost all t0t\geq 0. We further point out that taking (αt)t0(\alpha_t)_{t\geq 0} to be an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process constitutes a uniquely relevant model choice due to its Gauss-Markov property. The erroneous use of the noise term dUt\mathrm{d} U_t as red noise and its consequences are discussed in two examples from the literature.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2212.03566,
  title  = {Red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling},
  author = {Andreas Morr and Dörte Kreher and Niklas Boers},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2212.03566},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T07:24:37.072Z