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Randomization-based confidence sets for the local average treatment effect

Statistics Theory 2025-02-11 v3 Methodology Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider the problem of generating confidence sets in randomized experiments with noncompliance. We show that a refinement of a randomization-based procedure proposed by Imbens and Rosenbaum (2005) has desirable properties. Namely, we show that using a studentized Anderson--Rubin-type statistic as a test statistic yields confidence sets that are finite-sample exact under treatment effect homogeneity, and remain asymptotically valid for the Local Average Treatment Effect when the treatment effect is heterogeneous. We provide a uniform analysis of this procedure and efficient algorithms to construct the confidence set.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2404.18786,
  title  = {Randomization-based confidence sets for the local average treatment effect},
  author = {P. M. Aronow and Haoge Chang and Patrick Lopatto},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2404.18786},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:09:56.457Z