English

Quantisation Reshapes the Metacognitive Geometry of Language Models

Computation and Language 2026-04-13 v1

Abstract

We report that model quantisation restructures domain-level metacognitive efficiency in LLMs rather than degrading it uniformly. Evaluating Llama-3-8B-Instruct on the same 3,000 questions at Q5_K_M and f16 precision, we find that M-ratio profiles across four knowledge domains are uncorrelated between formats (Spearman rho = 0.00). Arts & Literature moves from worst-monitored (M-ratio = 0.606 at Q5_K_M) to best-monitored (1.542 at f16). Geography moves from well-monitored (1.210) to under-monitored (0.798). However, Type-2 AUROC profiles are perfectly stable across formats (rho = 1.00), localising the restructuring to the M-ratio normalisation rather than the underlying discrimination signal. This finding emerged from a pre-registered attempt to improve metacognition through domain-conditional training. We prescribed confidence-amplification SFT for the diagnosed weak domain, with matched-budget agnostic and wrong-prescription controls. All four confirmatory hypotheses were null (10,000 bootstrap resamples, seed = 42). The training successfully reshaped confidence distributions, doubling the NLP gap in Science from 0.076 to 0.152, but did not improve meta-d' because the diagnostic profile did not transfer across formats. Any system relying on domain-level M-ratio profiles has an unexamined dependency on inference format. Systems using AUROC_2 are safer. We release all code, pre-registrations, and trial-level data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.08976,
  title  = {Quantisation Reshapes the Metacognitive Geometry of Language Models},
  author = {Jon-Paul Cacioli},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.08976},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

10 pages, 2 figures, 5 tables. Pre-registered study. Code and data: https://github.com/synthiumjp/sdt-calibration

R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:02:25.256Z