English

Principal wind turbines for a conditional portfolio approach to wind farms

General Finance 2015-06-19 v1 Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Abstract

We introduce a measure for estimating the best risk-return relation of power production in wind farms within a given time-lag, conditioned to the velocity field. The velocity field is represented by a scalar that weighs the influence of the velocity at each wind turbine at present and previous time-steps for the present "state" of the wind field. The scalar measure introduced is a linear combination of the few turbines, that most influence the overall power production. This quantity is then used as the condition for computing a conditional expected return and corresponding risk associated to the future total power output.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1404.0375,
  title  = {Principal wind turbines for a conditional portfolio approach to wind farms},
  author = {Vitor V. Lopes and Teresa Scholz and Frank Raischel and Pedro G. Lind},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1404.0375},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

9 pages, conference proceedings of "The science of making torque from wind"