Predicting the Slow Drift of Nuclear Spin Noise in Semiconductor Spin Qubits

The dynamics of a nuclear spin bath generates magnetic noise that is a key contributor to the decoherence of electron spin qubits in electrostatically-defined quantum dots. In this paper, we extend the cluster correlation expansion (CCE) technique, which has proven useful for predicting solid-state qubit coherence times across various settings but is limited to shorter time scales, to incorporate stochastic treatments of cluster dynamics in order to efficiently predict slow drifting Overhauser fields over longer time scales. This approach combines quantum evolution with classical rate matrices to enable simulation across a wide range of temporal regimes required to simulate, for example, the long-time convergence of the ergodic $T_2^*$ from Ramsey experiments. Our methodology is validated against experimental data from various silicon spin qubit systems, demonstrating a strong agreement between simulation and measurement of Ramsey experiments presented in the form of $T_2^*$ versus averaging time, autocorrelation functions, as well as power spectral densities. Furthermore, we demonstrate significant back-action effects through modeling and experiment; specifically, the dynamics of the nuclear spin bath depends upon the electron spin occupation schedule. Finally, our modeling quantitatively predicts the benefits from compensating for the slow drift of Overhauser fields in qubit operations. Our findings indicate that compensating for an Overhauser rotation measured $\Delta t$ in the past results in an effective $T_2^*$, which we denote $\tilde{T}_2^*(\Delta t)$ for clarity, under certain scenarios of interest, can be one or two orders of magnitude larger than the ergodic $T_2^*$ if the Overhauser rotation is re-characterized every 100 milliseconds; that is, $\tilde{T}_2^*(\Delta t = 100~{\rm ms})$ can be $10$ to $100$ times larger than $T_2^*$.